作者机构：
[Peng-cheng Li; Li Zhang; Guo-hua Chen; Li-cao Dai; Ming Zhao] Human Factor Institute, University of south China Hengyang China;[Peng-cheng Li; Li Zhang; Guo-hua Chen; Li-cao Dai; Ming Zhao] Institute of Safety Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology;[Peng-cheng Li; Li Zhang; Guo-hua Chen; Li-cao Dai; Ming Zhao] Hunan Institute of Technology
会议名称：
2012 IEEE 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management(IE&EM 2012)
会议时间：
2012-10-27
会议地点：
中国湖南长沙
摘要：
In order to identify the performance shaping factors (PSFs) which influencing operator’s reliability in digital control system of nuclear power plants (NPPs), the comparative analysis of the represent
作者机构：
[Li Peng-cheng; Zhang Li; Dai Li-cao] Univ S China, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.;[Li Peng-cheng; Chen Guo-hua] S China Univ Technol, Inst Safety Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China.
通讯机构：
[Li Peng-cheng] U;Univ S China, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
关键词：
Human reliability analysis;Bayesian network;Human error;Organizational factors;Situational factors;Individual factors
摘要：
Organizational factors are the major root causes of human errors, while there have been no formal causal model of human behavior to model the effects of organizational factors on human reliability. The purpose of this paper is to develop a fuzzy Bayesian network (BN) approach to improve the quantification of organizational influences in HRA (human reliability analysis) frameworks. Firstly, a conceptual causal framework is built to analyze the causal relationships between organizational factors and human reliability or human error. Then, the probability inference model for HRA is built by combining the conceptual causal framework with BN to implement causal and diagnostic inference. Finally, a case example is presented to demonstrate the specific application of the proposed methodology. The results show that the proposed methodology of combining the conceptual causal model with BN approach can not only qualitatively model the causal relationships between organizational factors and human reliability but also can quantitatively measure human operational reliability, and identify the most likely root causes or the prioritization of root causes causing human error.
作者机构：
[张力; 赵明; 李鹏程; 戴立操] Human Factor Institute, University of South China, Hengyang, Hunan, 421001, China;[陈国华; 李鹏程] Institute of Safety Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510641, China;[戴立操] School of Info-physics and Geomatics Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, 410083, China;[张力] Hunan Institute of Technology, Hengyang, Hunan, 421001, China
通讯机构：
Human Factor Institute, University of South China, China
作者机构：
[张力; 戴立操; 李鹏程] Human Factor Institute, University of South China, Hengyang 421001, China;[张力] Hunan Institute of Technology, Hengyang 421001, China;[陈国华; 李鹏程] Institute of Safety Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China
通讯机构：
Human Factor Institute, University of South China, China
作者机构：
[张力; 戴立操; 李鹏程] Human Factor Institute, University of South China, Hengyang, Hunan, 421001, China;[李鹏程] Institute of Safety Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China;[张力] Hunan Institute of Technology, Hengyang, Hunan, 421001, China;[戴立操] School of Info-Physics and Geomatics Engineering Central South University, Changsha 410083, China;[黄卫刚] Daya Bay Nuclear Power Operations and Management Co., Ltd., Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518124, China
通讯机构：
Human Factor Institute, University of South China, China
作者机构：
[Zhang Li; Dai Licao; Li Pengcheng] Univ S China, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Peoples R China.;[Dai Licao] Cent S Univ, Sch Infophys & Geomat Engn, Changsha 410083, Hunan, Peoples R China.;[Zhang Li] Hunan Inst Technol, Hengyang 421003, Peoples R China.
通讯机构：
[Dai Licao] U;Univ S China, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Peoples R China.
关键词：
THERP plus HCR;HCR data modification;HRA event tree;Case study
摘要：
Human reliability analysis (HRA) is generally viewed as quite an important part in probabilistic safety assessment (PSA). In this paper, a THERP + HCR HRA model is presented to model the operators' post-accident behavior in Chinese nuclear power plants. The paper shows how the model is structured and how to consider and acquire the corresponding data, including HCR data modification and HRA event tree data. A case study is presented to make an illustration. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
作者机构：
[张力; 赵明; 李鹏程; 戴立操] Human Factor Institute, Nanhua University, Hengyang 421001, China;[陈国华; 李鹏程] Institute of Safety Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China
通讯机构：
Human Factor Institute, Nanhua University, China
摘要：
In the system reliability and safety assessment, the focuses are not only the risks caused by hardware or software, but also the risks caused by "human error". There are uncertainties in the traditional human error risk assessment (e.g. HECA) due to the uncertainties and imprecisions in Human Error Probability (HEP), Error-Effect Probability (EEP) and Error Consequence Severity (ECS). While fuzzy logic can deal with uncertainty and imprecision. It is an efficient tool for solving problems where knowledge uncertainty may occur. The purpose of this paper is to develop a new Fuzzy Human Error Risk Assessment Methodology (FHERAM) for determining Human Error Risk Importance (HERI) as a function of HEP, EEP and ECS. The modeling technique is based on the concept of fuzzy logic, which offers a convenient way of representing the relationships between the inputs (i.e. HEP, EEP, and ECS) and outputs (i.e. HERI) of a risk assessment system in the form of IF THEN rules. It is implemented on fuzzy logic toolbox of MATLAB using Mamdani techniques. A case example is presented to demonstrate the proposed approach. Results show that the method is more realistic than the traditional ones, and it is practicable and valuable. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
摘要：
Accidents in a nuclear power plant are coped with by operators in the main control room （MCR）. An analysis of the workload of operators in a MCR after the happening of initiating events is helpful to the alleviation of human errors and to the promotion of training efficiency. This paper establishes a framework of how man is located in a man-ma- chine interface of a nuclear power plant （NPP） as well as a simulation of the man-machine scenario in accidents in NPPs, including the simulation of the operators＇ task and cognitive work and the establishment of task analysis. On the basis of the above, a model of the dynamic changes of the operators＇ tasks is constructed and a computation of operators＇ workload is conducted.
期刊：
PROGRESS IN SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, VOL 6, PTS A AND B,2006年6:591-593
通讯作者：
Huang Shudong
作者机构：
[Huang Shudong; Zhang Li; Dai Licao] Nanhua Univ, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构：
[Huang Shudong] N;Nanhua Univ, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
关键词：
HRA in a NPP;quantity analysis;time division and parameter determination
摘要：
The purpose of human reliability analysis (HRA) is to provide a quantitative conclusion for Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) and detect the weak points of a system. The failure probability of post-accident human factor events is composed of cognitive failure probability PI, non-response probability P2 and the failure probability P3 of conducting the critical actions according to EOPs. The paper adopts the method of combining THERP and HCR and quantifies P1, P2 and P3 separately. In the analysis procedure the particular time division and parameter selection principle are put forward and illustrated by examples.
期刊：
PROGRESS IN SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, VOL V, PTS A AND B,2005年5:82-87
通讯作者：
Zhang, L
作者机构：
[Liu, YZ; Wang, YQ; Zhang, L; Dai, LC] Nanhua Univ, Inst Human Factors, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构：
[Zhang, L] N;Nanhua Univ, Inst Human Factors, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
关键词：
human error casual factors;cognitive reliability and error analysis method;Analytic Hierarchy Process
摘要：
This paper introduces and reviews various kinds of classification methods of human error casual factors ever appeared in the history of human error analysis. One of them is based on cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM). Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used to construct a hierarchy model of human error casual factors and its corresponding procedures in a large-scale complex man-machine system. An application case is provided herein.
摘要：
The paper establishes a technique to prevent the accidents in a nuclear power plant on the basis of a quantitative analysis. A safety AHP (The Analytic Hierarchy Process) method is put forward on the basis of the establishment of expert ability weight and safety matrix. The common AHP technique is modified from two aspects: one is the expert weight, the other is to construct a safety matrix. This is to make the common AHP safer and can be applied to provide a qualitative support in decision-making in a giant social-technical system which needs a high safety safeguard, e.g. a NPP. The paper uses a case in a certain NPP in China to illustrate it and the casual factors in connection with the events are arranged in sequence to lead to a reasonable decision-making in a giant social complex. The technique can be widely applied in the giant social systems of high risk to prevent the happening of accidents.
期刊：
Progress in Safety Science and Technology Volume 4:Proceedings of the 2004 International Symposium on Safety Science and Technology,2004年4(PART B):2762-2766
通讯作者：
Dai, LC
作者机构：
[Huang, SD; Zhang, L; Dai, LC] Nanhua Univ, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构：
[Dai, LC] N;Nanhua Univ, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
关键词：
human error;organization-committed human error;performance shaping factor (PSF);cause elements
摘要：
In industrial production human errors have become one of the most important causes of accidents happening. Human error research work has received much more attention than before. Its direction is toward the overall organization. The paper analyzes the, process of the organization-committed human errors and puts forward the technique to analyze them. The, performance shaping factors (PSFs) of the organization human errors classified into 12-group cause elements of 4 categories are presented.
期刊：
Progress in Safety Science and Technology Volume 4:Proceedings of the 2004 International Symposium on Safety Science and Technology,2004年4(PART B):2756-2761
通讯作者：
Zhang, L
作者机构：
[Huang, SD; Zhang, L; Gao, WY; Dai, LC] Nanhua Univ, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421000, Hunan, Peoples R China.
通讯机构：
[Zhang, L] N;Nanhua Univ, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421000, Hunan, Peoples R China.
关键词：
human factor;system safety;accident
摘要：
The paper expounds the critical effects of human errors/accidents upon system safety by a large amount of data and facts. The necessity of human errors in a complicated man-machine system is further analyzed. At the end, a well-grounded prevention system against human errors is put forward on the basis of the above.
