期刊论文

Trend of liver cancer incidence in China from 1990to 2019 analyzed using the age-period-cohort model

中文

中国预防医学杂志

1009-6639

2021

22

05

329-335

10.16506/j.1009-6639.2021.05.002

国家自然科学基金资助项目（81673107）；

本校为第一机构

目的 探讨中国人群肝癌发病随年龄、时期、队列三因素变化趋势.方法 基于2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD2019)数据库,以1990-2019年,20～79岁中国居民为研究对象,应用Stata 12.0分析,通过年龄-时期-队列模型估算中国肝癌发病率的年龄、时期和队列效应.结果 1990-2019年,中国男性和女性的肝癌标化发病率分别由1990年的34.76/10万和13.51/10万下降至2019年的15.22/10万和4.29/10万.APC模型分析显示,1990-2019年,我国肝癌发生风险的年龄效应为随年龄增加而增大[效应系数(男性):-2.357～0.809,P＜0.05;效应系数(女性):-1.874～1.374,P＜0.05].时期效应为随着年份的增加先减低后增加[效应系数(男性)0.37...

Objective To describe the trend of incidence of liver cancer among Chinese adults from 1990to 2019 by using age-period-cohort(APC)model. Methods Data of liver cancer incidence among Chinese adults aged 20-79years during 1990and 2019were retrieved from 2019Global Burden of Disease Study(GBD2019) database and were analyzed using Stata12.0software.The age,period and cohort effects on the incidence of liver cancer in China were assessed by using APC model. Results From 1990to 2019,the standardized incidence of liver cancer among Chinese men and women dropped from 34.76/100 000and 13.51/100 000in 1...