Based on the similarity between pillars withdrawn by block caving method and on working face, a physical model of surface subsidence prediction is established for oredrawing by block caving method, with the practical oredrawing scheme integrated into the physical model. The withdrawn pillar volume during a planned period of time is regarded as the belt working face within the predicted mining subsidence, and the predicted surface subsidence by oredrawing with multi-craters was transferred to the surface subsidence predicted for mining on belt working face. Then, the surface subsidence can be p...