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A fuzzy Bayesian network approach to improve the quantification of organizational influences in HRA frameworks

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WOS被引频次:30
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成果类型:
期刊论文
作者:
Li Peng-cheng;Chen Guo-hua;Dai Li-cao;Zhang Li
通讯作者:
Li, PC
作者机构:
[Dai Li-cao; Zhang Li; Li Peng-cheng] Human Factor Institute, University of South China, Hengyang, 421001 Hunan, China
[Chen Guo-hua; Li Peng-cheng] Institute of Safety Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510640 Guangdong, China
通讯机构:
[Li Peng-cheng] Univ S China, Human Factor Inst, Hengyang 421001, Hunan, Peoples R China.
语种:
英文
关键词:
Human reliability analysis;Bayesian network;Human error;Organizational factors;Situational factors;Individual factors
期刊:
Safety Science
ISSN:
0925-7535
年:
2012
卷:
50
期:
7
页码:
1569-1583
文献类别:
WOS:Article;EI:Journal article (JA)
所属学科:
ESI学科类别:工程学;WOS学科类别:Engineering, Industrial;Operations Research & Management Science
入藏号:
EI:20122015030125
基金类别:
National Natural Science Foundation of China [70873040, 70573043]; National Social Science Foundation of China [11BGL086]; Research Project of Lingdong Nuclear Power Co., Ltd. [KR70543]
机构署名:
本校为第一机构
院系归属:
管理学院
摘要:
Organizational factors are the major root causes of human errors, while there have been no formal causal model of human behavior to model the effects of organizational factors on human reliability. The purpose of this paper is to develop a fuzzy Bayesian network (BN) approach to improve the quantification of organizational influences in HRA (human reliability analysis) frameworks. Firstly, a conceptual causal framework is built to analyze the causal relationships between organizational factors and human reliability or human error. Then, the probability inference model for HRA is built by combining the conceptual causal framework with BN to implement causal and diagnostic inference. Finally, a case example is presented to demonstrate the specific application of the proposed methodology. The results show that the proposed methodology of combining the conceptual causal model with BN approach can not only qualitatively model the causal relationships between organizational factors and human reliability but also can quantitatively measure human operational reliability, and identify the most likely root causes or the prioritization of root causes causing human error.
参考文献:
Ale BJM, 2006, SAFETY SCI, V44, P657, DOI 10.1016/j.ssci.2006.02.002
Chang YHJ, 2007, RELIAB ENG SYST SAFE, V92, P1041, DOI 10.1016/j.ress.2006.05.013
Chang YHJ, 2007, RELIAB ENG SYST SAFE, V92, P1076, DOI 10.1016/j.ress.2006.05.012
Chang YHJ, 2007, RELIAB ENG SYST SAFE, V92, P1014, DOI 10.1016/j.ress.2006.05.010
Chang YHJ, 2007, RELIAB ENG SYST SAFE, V92, P1061, DOI 10.1016/j.ress.2006.05.011

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